UMBC
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 89.4769Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Drexel ( 9- 5, 92.3) 8-15 220 H Loyola ( 9- 5, 93.7) 8-12 224 A Mt St Marys ( 3-10, 84.7) 7- 4 227 A Towson (10- 3, 95.2) 10-14 307 A Hofstra ( 4-10, 88.5) 10-11 314 A Vermont ( 6- 6, 90.6) 5-10 321 H Albany ( 9- 5, 92.1) 6-10 328 H Bryant ( 7- 5, 88.7) 12-11 404 A UMassLowell ( 2-10, 84.3) 18- 4 411 A Binghamton ( 2-11, 85.6) 14- 8 418 H NJIT ( 4- 9, 87.4) 16-11 424 N Bucknell ( 8- 6, 91.3) 9- 8 430 A Albany ( 9- 5, 92.1) 430 A Albany ( 9- 5, 92.1)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Drexel 8-15 -7 -2 -- -5.46
220 H Loyola 8-12 -4 -3 -1.14
224 A Mt St Marys 7- 4 3 3 -0.42
227 A Towson 10-14 -4 -7 + 3.00
307 A Hofstra 10-11 -1 0 -0.68
314 A Vermont 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.53
321 H Albany 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.70
328 H Bryant 12-11 1 2 -1.12
404 A UMassLowell 18- 4 14 4 + 3.12
411 A Binghamton 14- 8 6 3 + 3.46
418 H NJIT 16-11 5 3 1.63
424 N Bucknell 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Drexel 8-15 -7 -2 -- -5.46 314 A Vermont 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.53 321 H Albany 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Towson 10-14 -4 -7 + 3.00 404 A UMassLowell 18- 4 14 4 + 3.12 411 A Binghamton 14- 8 6 3 + 3.46 424 N Bucknell 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.83 |
UMBC Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Albany | Albany | Albany | ||
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Army | |
| Bellarmine | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Binghamton | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Boston Univ | Boston Univ | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Boston Univ | |
| Brown | Brown | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Brown | |
| Bryant | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Bucknell | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Canisius | UMBC | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Cleveland St | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Colgate | Colgate | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Colgate | |
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dartmouth | |
| Delaware | UMBC | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | UMBC | |
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Drexel | Drexel | Drexel | ||
| Duke | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Fairfield | Fairfield | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Fairfield | |
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hampton | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | UMBC | |
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Hobart | UMBC | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | UMBC | |
| Hofstra | Hofstra | Hofstra | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Holy Cross | |
| Iona | UMBC | UMBC 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jacksonville | |
| JHU | JHU | JHU 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lafayette | Lafayette | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Lafayette | |
| Le Moyne | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Lehigh | Lehigh | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lehigh | |
| LIU | UMBC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UMBC | |
| Loyola | Loyola | Loyola | ||
| Manhattan | UMBC | UMBC 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Marist | UMBC | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | UMBC | |
| Marquette | Marquette | Marquette | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Maryland | |
| UMass | UMass | UMass 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| UMassLowell | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Mercer | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| Mercyhurst | UMBC | UMBC 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Merrimack | UMBC | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | UMBC | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth | UMBC | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | UMBC | |
| Mt St Marys | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Navy | Navy | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Navy | |
| NJIT | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| No Carolina | No Carolina | No Carolina | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Pennsylvania | |
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Princeton | |
| Providence | Providence | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Providence | |
| Queens | UMBC | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | UMBC | |
| Quinnipiac | UMBC | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | UMBC | |
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Rob Morris | Rob Morris | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Rob Morris | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Sacred Heart | |
| Siena | Siena | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Siena | |
| St Bonnies | UMBC | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | UMBC | |
| St Johns | UMBC | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | UMBC | |
| St Josephs | St Josephs | St Josephs 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| Vermont | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Villanova | Villanova | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Villanova | |
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| VMI | UMBC | UMBC | ||
| Wagner | UMBC | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | UMBC | |
| Yale | Yale | Yale 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 28
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.40
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
21 H Drexel ( 9- 5, 92.3) 8-15 -7.56 13.73 -1.32 1.12 -4.96
22 H Loyola ( 9- 5, 93.7) 8-12 -6.24 15.05 -1.32 1.12 -4.22
3 A Mt St Marys ( 3-10, 84.7) 7- 4 -15.16 6.13 1.32 1.12 16.64
8 A Towson (10- 3, 95.2) 10-14 -4.74 16.55 1.32 1.12 -1.91
3 A Hofstra ( 4-10, 88.5) 10-11 -11.42 9.87 1.32 1.12 -5.64
22 A Vermont ( 6- 6, 90.6) 5-10 -9.27 12.02 1.32 1.12 -4.44
9 H Albany ( 9- 5, 92.1) 6-10 -7.81 13.48 -1.32 1.12 -5.10
8 H Bryant ( 7- 5, 88.7) 12-11 -11.22 10.07 -1.32 1.12 19.55
5 A UMassLowell ( 2-10, 84.3) 18- 4 -15.63 5.67 1.32 1.12 15.61
15 A Binghamton ( 2-11, 85.6) 14- 8 -14.28 7.01 1.32 1.12 18.61
15 H NJIT ( 4- 9, 87.4) 16-11 -12.47 8.82 -1.32 1.12 16.74
11 N Bucknell ( 8- 6, 91.3) 9- 8 -8.60 12.70 -0.00 1.12 28.36
------
89.23
|
winning pts = 115.5023 losing points = -26.2696
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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