UMBC
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 89.9774Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 92.9) 8-15 220 H Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 8-12 224 A Mount St Marys MAAC ( 3-10, 85.5) 7- 4 227 A Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.3) 10-14 307 A Hofstra CAA ( 4-10, 89.2) 10-11 314 A Vermont America Eas ( 7- 7, 91.8) 5-10 321 H Albany America Eas (11- 5, 93.0) 6-10 328 H Bryant America Eas ( 7- 6, 89.1) 12-11 404 A Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 2-10, 85.1) 18- 4 411 A Binghamton America Eas ( 2-11, 86.5) 14- 8 418 H NJIT America Eas ( 4- 9, 88.2) 16-11 424 N Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 9- 8 430 A Albany America Eas (11- 5, 93.0) 3-14 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Drexel 8-15 -7 -2 -- -5.44
220 H Loyola 8-12 -4 -3 -1.03
224 A Mount St Marys 7- 4 3 3 -0.06
227 A Towson 10-14 -4 -7 + 2.73
307 A Hofstra 10-11 -1 -1 -0.38
314 A Vermont 5-10 -5 -3 -1.79
321 H Albany 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.31
328 H Bryant 12-11 1 2 -1.24
404 A Massachusetts-Lowell 18- 4 14 4 + 3.45
411 A Binghamton 14- 8 6 2 + 3.86
418 H NJIT 16-11 5 3 1.84
424 N Bucknell 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.93
430 A Albany 3-14 o -11 -4 - -2.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Drexel 8-15 -7 -2 -- -5.44 321 H Albany 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.31 430 A Albany 3-14 o -11 -4 - -2.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Towson 10-14 -4 -7 + 2.73 404 A Massachusetts-Lowell 18- 4 14 4 + 3.45 411 A Binghamton 14- 8 6 2 + 3.86 424 N Bucknell 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.93 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Drexel ( 9- 6, 92.9) 8-15 -6.99 13.61 -1.38 1.10 -4.61
3 H Loyola (10- 6, 94.3) 8-12 -5.58 15.02 -1.38 1.10 -3.83
3 A Mount St Marys ( 3-10, 85.5) 7- 4 -14.36 6.24 1.38 1.10 16.76
3 A Towson (11- 4, 95.3) 10-14 -4.57 16.03 1.38 1.10 -1.76
3 A Hofstra ( 4-10, 89.2) 10-11 -10.67 9.92 1.38 1.10 -5.12
3 A Vermont ( 7- 7, 91.8) 5-10 -8.08 12.51 1.38 1.10 -3.69
3 H Albany (11- 5, 93.0) 6-10 -6.86 13.74 -1.38 1.10 -4.53
3 H Bryant ( 7- 6, 89.1) 12-11 -10.78 9.81 -1.38 1.10 18.58
3 A Massachusetts- ( 2-10, 85.1) 18- 4 -14.85 5.75 1.38 1.10 15.69
3 A Binghamton ( 2-11, 86.5) 14- 8 -13.44 7.16 1.38 1.10 18.80
3 H NJIT ( 4- 9, 88.2) 16-11 -11.70 8.89 -1.38 1.10 16.56
3 N Bucknell ( 8- 7, 91.9) 9- 8 -7.99 12.61 -0.00 1.10 27.76
3 A Albany (11- 5, 93.0) 3-14 -6.86 13.74 1.38 1.10 -3.02
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87.59
|
winning pts = 114.1433 losing points = -26.5566
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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